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Red95
544929.0
519933.4
542933.1
Blue59
480020.5
396529.2
548017.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7266204060801001209559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#17
33.41.6
30.832.3
Auto9.3
Teleop14.2
End9.9
red by 4.2
3965
#18
29.20.4
26.526.0
Auto8.9
Teleop16.0
End4.2
Second
5429
#16
33.12.3
20.022.3
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End5.4
red by 12.5
4800
#39
20.50.7
20.219.5
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End3.9
Third
5449
#24
29.02.3
18.120.5
Auto9.8
Teleop13.8
End5.4
red by 11.1
5480
#46
17.90.7
18.417.7
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End3.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
56%Breach oddsEarned58%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed