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Qual 252016 Las Vegas Regional
Red108
98820.1
312827.9
349536.7
Blue71
349132.2
214436.3
480020.5
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions806820406010012014010871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3495
#9
36.72.1
31.8→33.9
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End3.0
red by 0.4
2144
#7
36.30.2
28.9→29.1
Auto7.8
Teleop23.9
End4.7
Second
3128
#13
27.92.3
29.2→31.5
Auto6.1
Teleop18.7
End3.2
blue by 4.3
3491
#20
32.20.3
19.9→20.2
Auto11.2
Teleop13.2
End7.8
Third
988
#37
20.13.5
15.4→18.9
Auto6.2
Teleop13.0
End0.9
blue by 0.4
4800
#39
20.50.3
19.5→19.8
Auto3.6
Teleop13.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
67%Breach oddsEarned56%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed