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Red100
349536.7
544929.0
548017.9
Blue108
312827.9
325540.2
615421.2
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751014060120140160100108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.71.5
34.836.4
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End3.0
blue by 3.4
40.20.2
40.240.4
Auto7.9
Teleop26.7
End5.6
Second
5449
#24
29.02.5
21.924.4
Auto9.8
Teleop13.8
End5.4
red by 1.1
3128
#13
27.90.2
33.033.3
Auto6.1
Teleop18.7
End3.2
Third
5480
#46
17.92.5
20.422.9
Auto5.8
Teleop9.1
End3.1
blue by 3.2
6154
#40
21.20.4
21.121.5
Auto7.2
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach oddsEarned92%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned