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Red90
320027.3
586922.8
59723.9
Blue99
254329.7
519933.4
498424.5
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions638702040801001201409099

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.31.7
22.023.7
Auto6.8
Teleop15.7
End4.8
blue by 6.1
5199
#17
33.41.2
32.934.1
Auto9.3
Teleop14.2
End9.9
Second
597
#35
23.91.7
22.324.0
Auto8.4
Teleop10.0
End5.5
blue by 5.8
2543
#25
29.71.2
24.826.0
Auto6.4
Teleop18.5
End4.8
Third
5869
#19
22.81.7
20.121.8
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.2
blue by 1.7
4984
#23
24.51.2
23.424.6
Auto13.0
Teleop8.0
End3.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach oddsEarned85%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned