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Red110
6028.8
300933.7
349132.2
Blue74
615421.2
396529.2
283921.6
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions817020406010012014011074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#10
33.72.2
29.331.5
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End11.4
red by 4.6
3965
#18
29.20.3
29.429.6
Auto8.9
Teleop16.0
End4.2
Second
3491
#20
32.23.4
25.328.8
Auto11.2
Teleop13.2
End7.8
red by 10.5
2839
#36
21.60.3
19.119.4
Auto5.8
Teleop13.1
End2.7
Third
60
#8
28.82.2
22.324.5
Auto6.5
Teleop16.7
End5.6
red by 7.6
6154
#40
21.20.4
21.521.9
Auto7.2
Teleop11.2
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
70%Breach oddsEarned41%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed