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Red65
151526.1
587520.1
519933.4
Blue93
298425.3
301127.8
349132.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions84800501001502002503003506593

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#17
33.41.1
34.733.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.2
End9.9
red by 1.2
3491
#20
32.21.4
28.830.2
Auto11.2
Teleop13.2
End7.8
Second
1515
#31
26.11.1
26.225.2
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End4.9
blue by 1.7
27.81.0
28.229.2
Auto11.0
Teleop13.4
End3.5
Third
5875
#44
20.11.4
19.818.4
Auto2.5
Teleop13.6
End3.9
blue by 5.2
2984
#34
25.31.0
21.322.3
Auto9.3
Teleop13.1
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
89%Breach oddsMissed58%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed