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Qual 712016 Las Vegas Regional
Red106
29526.7
542933.1
300933.7
Blue117
349536.7
586922.8
325540.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90106406080120140160106117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#10
33.71.1
33.3→34.3
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End11.4
blue by 6.5
3255
#2
40.20.8
40.6→41.4
Auto7.9
Teleop26.7
End5.6
Second
5429
#16
33.11.5
28.9→30.4
Auto8.2
Teleop19.5
End5.4
blue by 3.7
3495
#9
36.70.8
37.0→37.8
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End3.0
Third
295
#27
26.71.1
27.9→29.0
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End3.4
red by 3.9
5869
#19
22.80.8
22.8→23.6
Auto4.4
Teleop15.2
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned89%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned5%Capture oddsMissed