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Qual 752016 Las Vegas Regional
Red103
519933.4
460323.1
6028.8
Blue49
242915.6
379422.1
29526.7
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions846720406010012014010349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#17
33.41.3
33.5→34.7
Auto9.3
Teleop14.2
End9.9
red by 6.7
295
#27
26.71.2
29.2→27.9
Auto9.7
Teleop13.6
End3.4
Second
60
#8
28.81.3
24.5→25.8
Auto6.5
Teleop16.7
End5.6
red by 6.7
3794
#14
22.11.2
22.1→20.9
Auto8.6
Teleop8.8
End4.7
Third
4603
#22
23.11.3
21.1→22.3
Auto8.5
Teleop11.5
End3.1
red by 7.5
2429
#45
15.61.2
16.3→15.1
Auto5.3
Teleop9.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
85%Breach oddsEarned50%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed