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Qual 772016 Las Vegas Regional
Red95
414118.9
298425.3
320027.3
Blue94
349536.7
357717.7
151526.1
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64882040801001201401609594

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3200
#5
27.32.0
25.1→27.1
Auto6.8
Teleop15.7
End4.8
blue by 9.4
3495
#9
36.70.8
37.8→38.6
Auto7.5
Teleop26.2
End3.0
Second
2984
#34
25.32.0
22.3→24.2
Auto9.3
Teleop13.1
End2.9
blue by 0.8
1515
#31
26.10.8
25.2→26.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.2
End4.9
Third
4141
#38
18.92.0
18.0→20.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.8
End0.8
red by 1.2
3577
#43
17.70.8
18.9→19.7
Auto3.8
Teleop11.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
60%Breach oddsEarned77%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsEarned2%Capture oddsMissed