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Red88
298425.3
300933.7
583115.3
Blue57
242915.6
166117.4
460323.1
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions785401001502008857

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3009
#10
33.71.0
34.335.3
Auto7.6
Teleop14.6
End11.4
red by 10.7
4603
#22
23.10.1
23.023.1
Auto8.5
Teleop11.5
End3.1
Second
2984
#34
25.31.0
24.225.3
Auto9.3
Teleop13.1
End2.9
red by 7.9
1661
#41
17.40.1
17.617.6
Auto7.7
Teleop8.2
End1.5
Third
5831
#42
15.31.3
14.015.3
Auto4.6
Teleop7.4
End3.2
blue by 0.3
2429
#45
15.60.1
15.515.6
Auto5.3
Teleop9.8
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
55%Breach oddsEarned45%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed