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Red117
32941.7
287527.8
87118.1
Blue102
52735.7
35324.3
287219.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1119350150200117102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#3
41.70.0
41.741.7
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End6.7
red by 5.9
527
#5
35.70.0
35.735.7
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End5.5
Second
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto8.2
Teleop15.0
End4.5
red by 3.5
353
#2
24.30.0
24.324.3
Auto8.8
Teleop11.9
End3.6
Third
871
#24
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.5
End2.7
blue by 1.3
2872
#23
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2