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Red122
32941.7
287527.8
87118.1
Blue104
154619.9
286923.0
501631.1
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11477050100150200122104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#3
41.70.0
41.741.7
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End6.7
red by 10.6
5016
#21
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End3.6
Second
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto8.2
Teleop15.0
End4.5
red by 4.8
2869
#11
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.3
Third
871
#24
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.5
End2.7
blue by 1.8
1546
#19
19.90.0
19.919.9
Auto2.2
Teleop9.9
End7.8