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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95894060801201401604089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2638
#18
37.50.0
37.537.5
Auto9.0
Teleop24.2
End4.2
red by 1.7
527
#5
35.70.0
35.735.7
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End5.5
Second
5016
#21
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End3.6
red by 3.3
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto8.2
Teleop15.0
End4.5
Third
2869
#11
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.3
blue by 0.6
23.60.0
23.623.6
Auto11.2
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
66%Breach odds77%Breach odds
Capture
7%Capture odds1%Capture odds