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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68910501502002506694

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5659
#12
27.00.0
27.027.0
Auto7.3
Teleop12.9
End6.7
blue by 4.1
5016
#21
31.10.0
31.131.1
Auto10.8
Teleop16.6
End3.6
Second
2869
#11
23.00.0
23.023.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.3
blue by 5.5
3950
#14
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto10.2
Teleop14.4
End3.9
Third
2872
#23
19.40.0
19.419.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
blue by 6.4
3624
#13
25.80.0
25.825.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
49%Breach odds69%Breach odds
Capture
0%Capture odds3%Capture odds