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Red105
32941.7
287527.8
87118.1
Blue82
87043.8
642315.6
26330.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1101109010012013010582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
329
#3
41.70.0
41.741.7
Auto9.9
Teleop25.0
End6.7
blue by 2.1
870
#10
43.80.0
43.843.8
Auto10.7
Teleop23.5
End9.6
Second
27.80.0
27.827.8
Auto8.2
Teleop15.0
End4.5
blue by 2.9
263
#17
30.70.0
30.730.7
Auto11.1
Teleop14.2
End5.4
Third
871
#24
18.10.0
18.118.1
Auto6.8
Teleop8.5
End2.7
red by 2.5
15.60.0
15.615.6
Auto4.1
Teleop8.8
End2.7