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Red89
341939.6
436125.3
Blue92
412228.4
33333.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87760501001508992

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.0
39.639.6
Auto12.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
red by 5.9
333
#9
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto11.0
Teleop19.0
End3.8
Second
4361
#10
25.30.0
25.325.3
Auto8.3
Teleop12.7
End4.3
blue by 3.1
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End4.8