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Red65
33333.7
512312.3
341939.6
Blue78
405537.6
36929.0
452821.3
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88914060801001201406578

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.60.0
39.639.6
Auto12.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
red by 2.0
37.60.0
37.637.6
Auto10.6
Teleop21.0
End6.0
Second
333
#9
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto11.0
Teleop19.0
End3.8
red by 4.7
369
#13
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End4.1
Third
5123
#12
12.30.0
12.312.3
Auto6.0
Teleop5.1
End1.1
blue by 9.0
4528
#11
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
64%Breach odds91%Breach odds
Capture
3%Capture odds3%Capture odds