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Qual 122016 Hudson Valley Rally
Red25
33333.7
37111.0
594313.7
Blue59
452821.3
412228.4
341939.6
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions539901502559

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#9
33.70.0
33.7→33.7
Auto11.0
Teleop19.0
End3.8
blue by 5.9
3419
#3
39.60.0
39.6→39.6
Auto12.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
Second
5943
#6
13.70.0
13.7→13.7
Auto2.0
Teleop10.6
End1.1
blue by 14.7
4122
#2
28.40.0
28.4→28.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Third
371
#7
11.00.0
11.0→11.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.5
End3.1
blue by 10.3
4528
#11
21.30.0
21.3→21.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.3
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
34%Breach odds92%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds2%Capture odds