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Red69
33517.3
33333.7
452821.3
Blue74
188023.4
36929.0
412228.4
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73852040601001201401606974

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#9
33.70.0
33.733.7
Auto11.0
Teleop19.0
End3.8
red by 4.7
369
#13
29.00.0
29.029.0
Auto7.7
Teleop17.1
End4.1
Second
4528
#11
21.30.0
21.321.3
Auto7.9
Teleop10.3
End3.0
blue by 7.1
28.40.0
28.428.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Third
335
#5
17.30.0
17.317.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.3
End0.9
blue by 6.1
23.40.0
23.423.4
Auto3.8
Teleop13.9
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
48%Breach odds84%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds0%Capture odds