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Qual 82016 Hudson Valley Rally
Red45
341939.6
512312.3
33517.3
Blue82
33333.7
594313.7
412228.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70802040601001201401601804582

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3419
#3
39.60.0
39.6→39.6
Auto12.9
Teleop22.1
End4.7
red by 5.9
333
#9
33.70.0
33.7→33.7
Auto11.0
Teleop19.0
End3.8
Second
335
#5
17.30.0
17.3→17.3
Auto6.1
Teleop10.3
End0.9
blue by 11.1
4122
#2
28.40.0
28.4→28.4
Auto9.7
Teleop13.9
End4.8
Third
5123
#12
12.30.0
12.3→12.3
Auto6.0
Teleop5.1
End1.1
blue by 1.4
5943
#6
13.70.0
13.7→13.7
Auto2.0
Teleop10.6
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
51%Breach odds68%Breach odds
Capture
1%Capture odds1%Capture odds