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Red175
28738.7
115638.3
26332.6
Blue161
32943.1
87042.1
287527.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions136138130140150160170175161

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#7
38.70.5
38.238.7
Auto10.6
Teleop23.7
End4.4
blue by 4.4
329
#6
43.10.0
43.243.1
Auto11.7
Teleop25.9
End5.5
Second
38.30.5
37.838.3
Auto8.7
Teleop25.7
End3.8
blue by 3.9
870
#3
42.10.0
42.242.1
Auto8.4
Teleop26.5
End7.2
Third
263
#20
32.60.5
32.132.6
Auto11.0
Teleop16.4
End5.2
red by 4.8
2875
#31
27.80.1
27.927.8
Auto8.2
Teleop15.0
End4.5