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Red67
179638.9
573628.2
456723.4
Blue106
445827.7
509929.7
501625.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1149240608010014016018067106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.90.6
39.538.9
Auto12.9
Teleop21.7
End4.4
red by 9.2
5099
#11
29.70.2
28.628.8
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End8.4
Second
28.20.7
28.928.2
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End5.5
red by 0.5
4458
#22
27.70.2
26.626.8
Auto10.5
Teleop9.8
End7.4
Third
4567
#34
23.40.7
24.123.4
Auto8.9
Teleop9.3
End5.1
blue by 1.7
5016
#35
25.10.1
24.224.4
Auto8.4
Teleop12.7
End4.0