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Red117
28738.7
115638.3
26332.6
Blue112
52735.7
263841.0
27127.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions139127050100200250117112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#7
38.70.6
38.437.8
Auto10.6
Teleop23.7
End4.4
blue by 2.2
41.00.3
41.341.0
Auto10.3
Teleop24.4
End6.3
Second
38.30.6
37.937.3
Auto8.7
Teleop25.7
End3.8
red by 2.5
527
#14
35.70.3
36.035.7
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End5.5
Third
263
#20
32.60.6
32.331.7
Auto11.0
Teleop16.4
End5.2
red by 4.8
271
#18
27.80.3
28.127.8
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End5.3