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Red112
146827.8
400633.1
248728.5
Blue113
317131.1
313724.2
395028.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions113103050150200250300350112113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.10.1
33.233.1
Auto7.7
Teleop19.1
End6.3
red by 2.0
3171
#25
31.10.2
31.031.2
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End4.8
Second
2487
#37
28.50.1
28.628.5
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End5.6
red by 0.1
3950
#28
28.40.3
28.228.5
Auto10.2
Teleop14.4
End3.9
Third
1468
#12
27.80.1
27.827.8
Auto10.8
Teleop13.0
End4.0
red by 3.5
3137
#10
24.20.3
24.124.3
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End4.2