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Red60
53322.8
35324.3
160116.8
Blue124
28738.7
115638.3
248728.5
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4110005015060124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
353
#30
24.31.3
20.421.7
Auto8.8
Teleop11.9
End3.6
blue by 14.4
287
#7
38.72.0
36.338.3
Auto10.6
Teleop23.7
End4.4
Second
533
#40
22.80.8
17.117.9
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End4.3
blue by 15.5
38.32.2
35.637.8
Auto8.7
Teleop25.7
End3.8
Third
1601
#45
16.81.3
11.112.3
Auto6.4
Teleop7.7
End2.7
blue by 11.7
2487
#37
28.53.4
16.820.2
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
26%Breach oddsMissed53%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed4%Capture oddsEarned