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Red89
565927.0
509929.7
520224.3
Blue81
248728.5
445827.7
163533.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5979020401001201401608981

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5099
#11
29.73.2
15.018.1
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End8.4
blue by 3.6
1635
#17
33.40.5
31.131.6
Auto9.9
Teleop18.1
End5.3
Second
5659
#13
27.03.2
25.228.4
Auto7.3
Teleop12.9
End6.7
blue by 1.6
2487
#37
28.50.8
21.922.8
Auto4.1
Teleop18.8
End5.6
Third
5202
#15
24.31.9
20.322.2
Auto10.2
Teleop12.4
End1.7
blue by 3.4
4458
#22
27.70.8
20.521.3
Auto10.5
Teleop9.8
End7.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
43%Breach oddsEarned54%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned