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Red71
313724.2
26332.6
53322.8
Blue138
88427.0
87042.1
260123.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7483406010012071138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#20
32.60.1
29.929.8
Auto11.0
Teleop16.4
End5.2
blue by 9.5
870
#3
42.12.2
34.636.9
Auto8.4
Teleop26.5
End7.2
Second
3137
#10
24.20.2
24.324.0
Auto7.7
Teleop12.4
End4.2
blue by 2.8
884
#23
27.03.7
23.327.0
Auto8.5
Teleop13.1
End5.5
Third
533
#40
22.80.1
18.918.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End4.3
blue by 0.8
2601
#19
23.62.2
21.423.7
Auto11.2
Teleop10.4
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned46%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsEarned