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Red85
28738.7
412226.2
456723.4
Blue120
573628.2
520224.3
179638.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions958405015020085120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#7
38.70.4
38.838.4
Auto10.6
Teleop23.7
End4.4
blue by 0.2
38.92.5
34.336.8
Auto12.9
Teleop21.7
End4.4
Second
4122
#16
26.20.4
28.528.2
Auto9.1
Teleop14.0
End3.1
blue by 2.0
28.24.1
26.530.6
Auto9.3
Teleop13.3
End5.5
Third
4567
#34
23.40.6
23.422.7
Auto8.9
Teleop9.3
End5.1
blue by 0.9
5202
#15
24.32.5
22.224.7
Auto10.2
Teleop12.4
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
77%Breach oddsEarned70%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
2%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed