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Red42
175113.8
317131.1
49611.9
Blue104
146827.8
27127.8
2824.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions67702040608010042104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#25
31.11.5
32.931.4
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End4.8
red by 3.3
271
#18
27.82.1
25.427.5
Auto6.8
Teleop15.6
End5.3
Second
1751
#50
13.82.6
15.112.5
Auto3.0
Teleop10.1
End0.6
blue by 14.0
1468
#12
27.83.5
22.025.5
Auto10.8
Teleop13.0
End4.0
Third
496
#49
11.92.6
17.214.7
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End1.1
blue by 12.4
28
#29
24.33.5
19.823.3
Auto8.6
Teleop13.6
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
57%Breach oddsMissed71%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned