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Red78
146827.8
87118.1
53322.8
Blue85
160116.8
216124.5
520224.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions626602040801001201401607885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1468
#12
27.81.8
25.527.3
Auto10.8
Teleop13.0
End4.0
red by 3.3
2161
#32
24.51.2
23.925.1
Auto7.2
Teleop13.4
End3.9
Second
533
#40
22.81.2
20.521.7
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End4.3
blue by 1.5
5202
#15
24.30.8
23.824.5
Auto10.2
Teleop12.4
End1.7
Third
871
#36
18.11.8
14.716.5
Auto6.8
Teleop8.5
End2.7
red by 1.3
1601
#45
16.81.2
15.917.1
Auto6.4
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
53%Breach oddsEarned64%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed