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Red64
565927.0
153719.8
60125.4
Blue79
35821.5
49611.9
52735.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76730501001502006479

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5659
#13
27.01.0
27.626.6
Auto7.3
Teleop12.9
End6.7
blue by 8.8
527
#14
35.70.5
35.635.2
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End5.5
Second
601
#21
25.41.0
25.924.9
Auto9.1
Teleop12.5
End3.8
red by 3.9
358
#33
21.50.5
20.920.4
Auto3.5
Teleop13.9
End4.1
Third
1537
#42
19.81.0
19.918.9
Auto5.8
Teleop9.6
End4.3
red by 7.9
496
#49
11.90.7
14.713.9
Auto3.8
Teleop7.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
80%Breach oddsMissed60%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
1%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsMissed