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Red123
52735.7
263841.0
362425.8
Blue109
160116.8
179638.9
26332.6
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102864060120140160180123109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
41.01.7
38.840.6
Auto10.3
Teleop24.4
End6.3
red by 2.0
38.91.5
38.139.6
Auto12.9
Teleop21.7
End4.4
Second
527
#14
35.71.7
35.236.9
Auto9.6
Teleop20.6
End5.5
red by 3.1
263
#20
32.61.5
30.632.2
Auto11.0
Teleop16.4
End5.2
Third
3624
#26
25.81.7
22.824.5
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End4.5
red by 9.0
1601
#45
16.82.2
17.119.3
Auto6.4
Teleop7.7
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
82%Breach oddsEarned82%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
3%Capture oddsEarned1%Capture oddsEarned