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Red75
317131.1
287219.4
56921.5
Blue102
53322.8
362425.8
400633.1
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7382406010012014075102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3171
#25
31.10.2
31.030.9
Auto8.8
Teleop17.6
End4.8
blue by 2.0
33.11.7
32.033.7
Auto7.7
Teleop19.1
End6.3
Second
569
#38
21.50.2
21.721.5
Auto10.9
Teleop7.4
End3.3
blue by 4.3
3624
#26
25.81.3
24.525.8
Auto7.9
Teleop13.5
End4.5
Third
2872
#44
19.40.2
19.619.4
Auto5.3
Teleop10.9
End3.2
blue by 3.3
533
#40
22.81.3
21.522.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
62%Breach oddsEarned68%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed2%Capture oddsEarned