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Red115
445827.7
509929.7
501625.1
Blue152
28738.7
115638.3
26332.6
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8914350100200115152

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5099
#11
29.70.4
29.429.7
Auto5.6
Teleop15.7
End8.4
blue by 9.0
287
#7
38.70.0
37.637.6
Auto10.6
Teleop23.7
End4.4
Second
4458
#22
27.70.4
27.327.7
Auto10.5
Teleop9.8
End7.4
blue by 10.6
38.30.0
37.137.1
Auto8.7
Teleop25.7
End3.8
Third
5016
#35
25.10.3
24.825.1
Auto8.4
Teleop12.7
End4.0
blue by 7.5
263
#20
32.60.0
31.531.5
Auto11.0
Teleop16.4
End5.2