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Red85
179625.9
37524.4
80623.5
Blue122
286923.0
39523.8
154619.9
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions95672040608012014085122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#10
25.90.6
25.625.0
Auto7.5
Teleop15.1
End3.2
red by 2.1
395
#11
23.81.3
21.823.2
Auto7.6
Teleop12.3
End3.9
Second
375
#1
24.40.6
24.023.5
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End3.3
red by 1.4
2869
#43
23.01.3
21.022.3
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.3
Third
806
#22
23.50.6
23.222.6
Auto10.3
Teleop9.6
End3.7
red by 3.7
1546
#49
19.91.3
17.919.2
Auto2.2
Teleop9.9
End7.8