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Red24
581416.8
188413.6
619511.9
Blue39
55997.4
401219.7
234417.9
56%Model gave it44%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45420102030506070802439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5814
#29
16.83.2
15.612.4
Auto3.0
Teleop11.4
End2.5
blue by 2.8
4012
#35
19.70.2
12.812.6
Auto4.6
Teleop11.7
End3.3
Second
1884
#51
13.63.2
15.111.9
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End3.0
blue by 4.3
2344
#60
17.90.2
16.916.7
Auto6.2
Teleop9.1
End2.5
Third
6195
#58
11.93.2
12.49.1
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End1.8
red by 4.5
5599
#63
7.40.2
11.411.1
Auto0.9
Teleop6.0
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
28%Breach oddsMissed27%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed