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Red65
477313.0
115513.8
503028.3
Blue54
341937.3
464017.8
188016.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50550204060801006554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.31.8
18.920.6
Auto9.2
Teleop14.5
End4.6
blue by 9.0
37.30.2
25.125.3
Auto7.8
Teleop23.2
End6.3
Second
1155
#20
13.81.8
14.316.1
Auto3.9
Teleop7.3
End2.6
blue by 4.0
4640
#57
17.80.2
12.212.4
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End1.8
Third
4773
#26
13.01.8
16.017.7
Auto4.6
Teleop6.6
End1.7
blue by 3.3
1880
#61
16.30.2
15.115.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
40%Breach oddsEarned30%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed