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Red42
452821.3
172622.0
160012.6
Blue24
74313.7
438313.6
594616.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6436020801001204224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1726
#23
22.01.8
25.924.2
Auto8.1
Teleop10.8
End3.2
red by 5.4
5946
#33
16.71.7
15.113.4
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End3.6
Second
4528
#30
21.31.8
16.014.2
Auto7.9
Teleop10.3
End3.0
red by 7.6
743
#64
13.71.7
13.511.9
Auto6.9
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Third
1600
#41
12.61.8
16.114.3
Auto3.4
Teleop7.0
End2.2
blue by 0.9
4383
#37
13.61.7
10.38.6
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
41%Breach oddsMissed36%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed