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Red52
123017.1
139615.7
289516.3
Blue62
341937.3
595524.4
300414.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3759020801005262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1230
#24
17.11.4
13.715.1
Auto8.1
Teleop8.2
End0.8
blue by 20.1
37.30.9
25.326.2
Auto7.8
Teleop23.2
End6.3
Second
2895
#39DQ
16.31.4
11.913.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End2.3
blue by 8.1
5955
#17
24.40.9
17.318.2
Auto5.8
Teleop14.2
End4.3
Third
1396
#42
15.71.4
14.015.3
Auto2.1
Teleop9.4
End4.2
red by 1.2
3004
#53
14.40.9
11.412.3
Auto1.8
Teleop11.3
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
19%Breach oddsEarned21%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed