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Red65
301721.9
464017.8
289516.3
Blue67
412220.3
542117.3
286923.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40401020305060706567

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3017
#47
21.92.8
15.718.4
Auto7.3
Teleop11.4
End3.1
blue by 1.1
2869
#43
23.03.2
15.418.7
Auto6.5
Teleop12.2
End4.3
Second
4640
#57
17.82.8
11.314.1
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End1.8
blue by 2.6
4122
#54
20.33.2
13.516.7
Auto7.3
Teleop10.1
End2.8
Third
2895
#39
16.32.8
13.316.0
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End2.3
blue by 1.0
5421
#31
17.33.2
8.912.2
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
21%Breach oddsMissed15%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed