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Red47
376011.7
551518.5
300414.4
Blue84
542117.3
320418.0
341937.3
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3659020801001204784

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5515
#55
18.50.4
14.915.3
Auto7.6
Teleop8.7
End2.1
blue by 18.8
37.33.4
29.132.5
Auto7.8
Teleop23.2
End6.3
Second
3004
#53
14.40.4
12.813.3
Auto1.8
Teleop11.3
End1.3
blue by 3.6
3204
#34
18.03.4
12.215.6
Auto5.1
Teleop10.7
End2.1
Third
3760
#50
11.70.4
10.611.0
Auto0.1
Teleop9.4
End2.1
blue by 5.6
5421
#31
17.33.4
12.215.6
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
22%Breach oddsMissed29%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed