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Red65
188413.6
33322.6
464017.8
Blue32
179723.5
36466.8
594616.7
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424902060801006532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#21
22.61.4
15.817.2
Auto3.8
Teleop15.4
End3.4
blue by 0.9
1797
#14
23.51.6
22.020.4
Auto3.6
Teleop17.8
End2.0
Second
4640
#57
17.81.4
14.115.5
Auto5.1
Teleop10.8
End1.8
red by 1.1
5946
#33
16.71.6
11.19.4
Auto6.0
Teleop7.1
End3.6
Third
1884
#51
13.61.4
12.213.6
Auto5.5
Teleop5.2
End3.0
red by 6.8
3646
#65
6.81.6
13.511.9
Auto2.7
Teleop3.6
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
18%Breach oddsMissed38%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed