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Red52
39523.8
438313.6
457117.4
Blue54
578118.8
619511.9
376011.7
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions603402040801005254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
395
#11
23.80.3
24.424.2
Auto7.6
Teleop12.3
End3.9
red by 5.0
18.80.8
14.315.1
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End4.0
Second
4571
#13
17.40.3
17.817.5
Auto3.1
Teleop10.8
End3.5
red by 5.6
6195
#58
11.90.8
11.612.4
Auto3.2
Teleop6.9
End1.8
Third
4383
#37
13.60.3
12.211.9
Auto4.0
Teleop9.2
End0.3
red by 1.9
3760
#50
11.70.8
11.011.8
Auto0.1
Teleop9.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
54%Breach oddsEarned25%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed