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Red80
551518.5
138219.9
260123.0
Blue41
289516.3
33517.3
64017.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50550204060801008041

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2601
#19
23.02.3
21.123.4
Auto9.4
Teleop10.4
End3.2
red by 5.7
335
#38
17.31.3
17.115.7
Auto6.1
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Second
1382
#44
19.92.3
14.216.5
Auto5.4
Teleop11.1
End3.4
red by 2.7
640
#36
17.11.3
17.716.4
Auto3.2
Teleop11.4
End2.6
Third
5515
#55
18.52.3
14.416.7
Auto7.6
Teleop8.7
End2.1
red by 2.2
2895
#39
16.31.3
18.116.8
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
19%Breach oddsMissed22%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed