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Red65
226520.0
542117.3
289516.3
Blue54
154619.9
166017.0
188016.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57532030407080901006554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2265
#25
20.00.5
20.520.0
Auto7.0
Teleop11.0
End2.0
red by 0.1
1546
#49
19.90.3
18.217.9
Auto2.2
Teleop9.9
End7.8
Second
5421
#31
17.30.5
17.817.3
Auto6.7
Teleop8.2
End2.3
red by 0.3
1660
#48
17.00.3
17.317.0
Auto4.5
Teleop9.5
End3.0
Third
2895
#39
16.30.5
16.816.3
Auto5.1
Teleop8.9
End2.3
Level
1880
#61
16.30.3
16.616.3
Auto3.0
Teleop10.8
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
32%Breach oddsMissed11%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed