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Red82
179723.5
172622.0
529811.6
Blue17
448118.8
35417.4
551518.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59582030405070808217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1797
#14
23.55.1
23.518.4
Auto3.6
Teleop17.8
End2.0
red by 4.7
4481
#46
18.84.4
20.916.4
Auto2.0
Teleop14.0
End2.8
Second
1726
#23
22.02.7
25.328.1
Auto8.1
Teleop10.8
End3.2
red by 3.6
5515
#55
18.54.4
17.713.2
Auto7.6
Teleop8.7
End2.1
Third
5298
#66DQ
11.62.7
16.419.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.8
End1.5
blue by 5.8
354
#52
17.44.4
18.413.9
Auto2.3
Teleop11.4
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
42%Breach oddsEarned42%Breach oddsMissed
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed0%Capture oddsMissed