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Red95
179625.9
37524.4
80623.5
Blue120
69426.6
503028.3
501626.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions919840608012014016018095120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#10
25.90.0
25.925.9
Auto7.5
Teleop15.1
End3.2
blue by 2.4
28.30.4
27.127.5
Auto9.2
Teleop14.5
End4.6
Second
375
#1
24.40.0
24.324.4
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End3.3
blue by 2.3
694
#8
26.60.4
25.425.8
Auto7.5
Teleop15.7
End3.4
Third
806
#22
23.50.0
23.523.5
Auto10.3
Teleop9.6
End3.7
blue by 2.5
5016
#28
26.10.4
24.925.3
Auto6.1
Teleop16.4
End3.5