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Red145
63935.3
2038.1
140532.5
Blue109
304438.2
493031.0
34032.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14112750100200250145109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#6
38.10.3
37.838.1
Auto10.4
Teleop22.5
End5.2
blue by 0.1
3044
#15
38.20.3
38.538.2
Auto10.8
Teleop20.9
End6.5
Second
639
#11
35.30.3
35.035.3
Auto9.8
Teleop16.8
End8.8
red by 2.7
340
#23
32.70.3
33.032.7
Auto7.0
Teleop21.1
End4.6
Third
1405
#31
32.50.4
32.032.5
Auto6.5
Teleop16.8
End9.2
red by 1.4
31.00.3
31.431.0
Auto9.6
Teleop14.3
End7.1