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Quarterfinal 4-12016 Finger Lakes Regional
Red164
304438.2
493031.0
34032.7
Blue112
300333.8
150734.7
280929.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12812380100140160180164112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3044
#15
38.20.2
38.1→38.0
Auto10.8
Teleop20.9
End6.5
red by 3.5
1507
#8
34.70.2
35.1→35.0
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End6.2
Second
340
#23
32.70.2
32.6→32.4
Auto7.0
Teleop21.1
End4.6
blue by 1.1
3003
#28
33.80.2
34.2→34.0
Auto7.6
Teleop21.4
End4.8
Third
4930
#3
31.00.2
31.0→30.8
Auto9.6
Teleop14.3
End7.1
red by 1.4
2809
#13
29.60.2
30.0→29.9
Auto9.8
Teleop15.4
End4.4