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Red96
383820.8
34032.7
280929.6
Blue121
525448.2
37828.2
150734.7
10%Model gave it90%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6911202040608010012014016096121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
340
#23
32.71.3
25.526.8
Auto7.0
Teleop21.1
End4.6
blue by 15.5
48.20.6
43.744.2
Auto11.8
Teleop29.7
End6.7
Second
2809
#13
29.61.2
26.928.0
Auto9.8
Teleop15.4
End4.4
blue by 5.1
34.70.7
32.633.2
Auto8.7
Teleop19.8
End6.2
Third
3838
#47
20.82.0
20.822.8
Auto5.9
Teleop11.7
End3.3
blue by 7.4
378
#37
28.20.7
26.026.6
Auto9.5
Teleop15.0
End3.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Breach
76%Breach oddsEarned94%Breach oddsEarned
Capture
0%Capture oddsMissed1%Capture oddsEarned